{"dataMode":"mixed","generatedAt":"2026-06-11T10:48:10.113Z","recommendedRoster":[{"id":"api-football-9-386828","player":"Lamine Yamal","country":"Spain","position":"FW","club":"Barcelona","expectedGoals":3.783,"goalProbability":97.7,"scorerGoalPoints":8,"expectedMatches":6.58,"projectedPoints":30.26,"riskScore":0.28,"ceiling":76.35,"rationale":"FW projection driven by expected goals, Spain expected matches, and Scorito goal points by position.","dependencies":"Spain expected matches; Scorito top-scorer goal points; Roster lock status","sourceFreshness":"2026-06-05T20:45:02.776Z"},{"id":"api-football-2-278","player":"Kylian Mbappé","country":"France","position":"FW","club":"Real Madrid","expectedGoals":3.729,"goalProbability":97.6,"scorerGoalPoints":8,"expectedMatches":6.53,"projectedPoints":29.83,"riskScore":0.29,"ceiling":75.22,"rationale":"FW projection driven by expected goals, France expected matches, and Scorito goal points by position.","dependencies":"France expected matches; Scorito top-scorer goal points; Roster lock status","sourceFreshness":"2026-06-05T20:45:02.776Z"},{"id":"api-football-26-217","player":"Lautaro Martínez","country":"Argentina","position":"FW","club":"Internazionale","expectedGoals":3.688,"goalProbability":97.5,"scorerGoalPoints":8,"expectedMatches":6.44,"projectedPoints":29.5,"riskScore":0.28,"ceiling":74.41,"rationale":"FW projection driven by expected goals, Argentina expected matches, and Scorito goal points by position.","dependencies":"Argentina expected matches; Scorito top-scorer goal points; Roster lock status","sourceFreshness":"2026-06-05T20:45:02.776Z"},{"id":"api-football-9-296667","player":"Gavi","country":"Spain","position":"MF","club":"Barcelona","expectedGoals":1.746,"goalProbability":82.6,"scorerGoalPoints":16,"expectedMatches":6.58,"projectedPoints":27.94,"riskScore":0.2,"ceiling":71.49,"rationale":"MF projection driven by expected goals, Spain expected matches, and Scorito goal points by position.","dependencies":"Spain expected matches; Scorito top-scorer goal points; Roster lock status","sourceFreshness":"2026-06-05T20:45:02.776Z"},{"id":"api-football-9-47311","player":"Mikel Merino","country":"Spain","position":"MF","club":"Arsenal","expectedGoals":1.746,"goalProbability":82.6,"scorerGoalPoints":16,"expectedMatches":6.58,"projectedPoints":27.94,"riskScore":0.2,"ceiling":71.49,"rationale":"MF projection driven by expected goals, Spain expected matches, and Scorito goal points by position.","dependencies":"Spain expected matches; Scorito top-scorer goal points; Roster lock status","sourceFreshness":"2026-06-05T20:45:02.776Z"},{"id":"api-football-6-127769","player":"Gabriel Martinelli","country":"Brazil","position":"FW","club":"Arsenal","expectedGoals":3.352,"goalProbability":96.5,"scorerGoalPoints":8,"expectedMatches":5.9,"projectedPoints":26.81,"riskScore":0.29,"ceiling":67.59,"rationale":"FW projection driven by expected goals, Brazil expected matches, and Scorito goal points by position.","dependencies":"Brazil expected matches; Scorito top-scorer goal points; Roster lock status","sourceFreshness":"2026-06-05T20:45:02.776Z"},{"id":"api-football-6-1496","player":"Raphinha","country":"Brazil","position":"MF","club":"Barcelona","expectedGoals":1.547,"goalProbability":78.7,"scorerGoalPoints":16,"expectedMatches":5.9,"projectedPoints":24.75,"riskScore":0.21,"ceiling":63.29,"rationale":"MF projection driven by expected goals, Brazil expected matches, and Scorito goal points by position.","dependencies":"Brazil expected matches; Scorito top-scorer goal points; Roster lock status","sourceFreshness":"2026-06-05T20:45:02.776Z"},{"id":"api-football-27-567","player":"Rúben Dias","country":"Portugal","position":"DF","club":"Manchester City","expectedGoals":0.438,"goalProbability":35.5,"scorerGoalPoints":32,"expectedMatches":5.8,"projectedPoints":14.02,"riskScore":0.21,"ceiling":35.8,"rationale":"DF projection driven by expected goals, Portugal expected matches, and Scorito goal points by position.","dependencies":"Portugal expected matches; Scorito top-scorer goal points; Roster lock status","sourceFreshness":"2026-06-05T20:45:02.776Z"},{"id":"api-football-2-22221","player":"M. Maignan","country":"France","position":"GK","club":"","expectedGoals":0.023,"goalProbability":2.3,"scorerGoalPoints":32,"expectedMatches":6.53,"projectedPoints":0.73,"riskScore":0.21,"ceiling":1.88,"rationale":"GK projection driven by expected goals, France expected matches, and Scorito goal points by position.","dependencies":"France expected matches; Scorito top-scorer goal points; Roster lock status","sourceFreshness":"2026-06-05T20:45:02.776Z"},{"id":"api-football-26-2467","player":"Lisandro Martínez","country":"Argentina","position":"DF","club":"Manchester United","expectedGoals":0.445,"goalProbability":35.9,"scorerGoalPoints":32,"expectedMatches":6.44,"projectedPoints":14.23,"riskScore":0.2,"ceiling":36.41,"rationale":"DF projection driven by expected goals, Argentina expected matches, and Scorito goal points by position.","dependencies":"Argentina expected matches; Scorito top-scorer goal points; Roster lock status","sourceFreshness":"2026-06-05T20:45:02.776Z"},{"id":"api-football-27-855","player":"João Cancelo","country":"Portugal","position":"DF","club":"Barcelona","expectedGoals":0.438,"goalProbability":35.5,"scorerGoalPoints":32,"expectedMatches":5.8,"projectedPoints":14.02,"riskScore":0.21,"ceiling":35.8,"rationale":"DF projection driven by expected goals, Portugal expected matches, and Scorito goal points by position.","dependencies":"Portugal expected matches; Scorito top-scorer goal points; Roster lock status","sourceFreshness":"2026-06-05T20:45:02.776Z"}],"recommendedPicks":[{"id":"1489369","fixtureId":"1489369","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-11T19:00:00+00:00","group":"A","match":"Mexico vs South Africa","venue":"Estadio Azteca","pick":"Mexico","scorePick":"2-0","homeProbability":66.4,"drawProbability":22,"awayProbability":11.6,"recommendedPickProbability":66.4,"exactScoreProbability":13.3,"outcomeExpectedPoints":19.93,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.99,"expectedPoints":21.93,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"High","upsetRisk":33.6,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:24+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Mexico; score lean 2-0; draw risk is 22.0%.","kickoff":"Jun 11, 07:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1538999","fixtureId":"1538999","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-12T02:00:00+00:00","group":"A","match":"South Korea vs Czech Republic","venue":"Estadio Akron","pick":"South Korea","scorePick":"1-0","homeProbability":35.4,"drawProbability":30.9,"awayProbability":33.7,"recommendedPickProbability":35.4,"exactScoreProbability":6,"outcomeExpectedPoints":10.61,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":0.9,"expectedPoints":11.51,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Speculative","upsetRisk":64.6,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:15:17+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors South Korea; score lean 1-0; draw risk is 30.9%.","kickoff":"Jun 12, 02:00 AM UTC"},{"id":"1539000","fixtureId":"1539000","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-12T19:00:00+00:00","group":"B","match":"Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina","venue":"BMO Field","pick":"Canada","scorePick":"2-1","homeProbability":52.3,"drawProbability":27,"awayProbability":20.7,"recommendedPickProbability":52.3,"exactScoreProbability":9.4,"outcomeExpectedPoints":15.69,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.41,"expectedPoints":17.1,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Medium","upsetRisk":47.7,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:15:17+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Canada; score lean 2-1; draw risk is 27.0%.","kickoff":"Jun 12, 07:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1489370","fixtureId":"1489370","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-13T01:00:00+00:00","group":"D","match":"USA vs Paraguay","venue":"SoFi Stadium","pick":"USA","scorePick":"2-1","homeProbability":48.6,"drawProbability":28.2,"awayProbability":23.2,"recommendedPickProbability":48.6,"exactScoreProbability":8.7,"outcomeExpectedPoints":14.57,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.31,"expectedPoints":15.88,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Medium","upsetRisk":51.4,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:24+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors USA; score lean 2-1; draw risk is 28.2%.","kickoff":"Jun 13, 01:00 AM UTC"},{"id":"1489373","fixtureId":"1489373","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-13T19:00:00+00:00","group":"B","match":"Qatar vs Switzerland","venue":"Levi's Stadium","pick":"Switzerland","scorePick":"0-3","homeProbability":7,"drawProbability":14.7,"awayProbability":78.3,"recommendedPickProbability":78.3,"exactScoreProbability":16.4,"outcomeExpectedPoints":23.49,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":2.47,"expectedPoints":25.96,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"High","upsetRisk":21.7,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:24+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Switzerland; score lean 0-3; draw risk is 14.7%.","kickoff":"Jun 13, 07:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1489371","fixtureId":"1489371","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-13T22:00:00+00:00","group":"C","match":"Brazil vs Morocco","venue":"MetLife Stadium","pick":"Brazil","scorePick":"2-1","homeProbability":57.4,"drawProbability":25,"awayProbability":17.5,"recommendedPickProbability":57.4,"exactScoreProbability":10.3,"outcomeExpectedPoints":17.23,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.55,"expectedPoints":18.78,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Medium","upsetRisk":42.6,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Brazil; score lean 2-1; draw risk is 25.0%.","kickoff":"Jun 13, 10:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1489372","fixtureId":"1489372","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-14T01:00:00+00:00","group":"C","match":"Haiti vs Scotland","venue":"Gillette Stadium","pick":"Scotland","scorePick":"0-2","homeProbability":15.7,"drawProbability":22.4,"awayProbability":61.8,"recommendedPickProbability":61.8,"exactScoreProbability":12.4,"outcomeExpectedPoints":18.54,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.85,"expectedPoints":20.4,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Medium","upsetRisk":38.2,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:24+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Scotland; score lean 0-2; draw risk is 22.4%.","kickoff":"Jun 14, 01:00 AM UTC"},{"id":"1539001","fixtureId":"1539001","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-14T04:00:00+00:00","group":"D","match":"Australia vs Türkiye","venue":"BC Place","pick":"Türkiye","scorePick":"1-2","homeProbability":18.9,"drawProbability":25.4,"awayProbability":55.6,"recommendedPickProbability":55.6,"exactScoreProbability":10,"outcomeExpectedPoints":16.69,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.5,"expectedPoints":18.2,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Medium","upsetRisk":44.4,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Türkiye; score lean 1-2; draw risk is 25.4%.","kickoff":"Jun 14, 04:00 AM UTC"},{"id":"1489374","fixtureId":"1489374","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-14T17:00:00+00:00","group":"E","match":"Germany vs Curaçao","venue":"NRG Stadium","pick":"Germany","scorePick":"3-0","homeProbability":92.1,"drawProbability":5.7,"awayProbability":2.2,"recommendedPickProbability":92.1,"exactScoreProbability":19,"outcomeExpectedPoints":27.63,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":2.85,"expectedPoints":30.48,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"High","upsetRisk":7.9,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:24+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Germany; score lean 3-0; draw risk is 5.7%.","kickoff":"Jun 14, 05:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1489376","fixtureId":"1489376","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-14T20:00:00+00:00","group":"F","match":"Netherlands vs Japan","venue":"AT&T Stadium","pick":"Netherlands","scorePick":"1-0","homeProbability":47.3,"drawProbability":26.8,"awayProbability":25.9,"recommendedPickProbability":47.3,"exactScoreProbability":7.6,"outcomeExpectedPoints":14.19,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.14,"expectedPoints":15.32,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Speculative","upsetRisk":52.7,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:24+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Netherlands; score lean 1-0; draw risk is 26.8%.","kickoff":"Jun 14, 08:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1489375","fixtureId":"1489375","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-14T23:00:00+00:00","group":"E","match":"Ivory Coast vs Ecuador","venue":"Lincoln Financial Field","pick":"Ecuador","scorePick":"0-1","homeProbability":26.8,"drawProbability":33.5,"awayProbability":39.7,"recommendedPickProbability":39.7,"exactScoreProbability":6.4,"outcomeExpectedPoints":11.91,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":0.95,"expectedPoints":12.86,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Speculative","upsetRisk":60.3,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:24+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Ecuador; score lean 0-1; draw risk is 33.5%.","kickoff":"Jun 14, 11:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1539002","fixtureId":"1539002","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-15T02:00:00+00:00","group":"F","match":"Sweden vs Tunisia","venue":"Estadio BBVA","pick":"Sweden","scorePick":"2-1","homeProbability":49.9,"drawProbability":27.9,"awayProbability":22.3,"recommendedPickProbability":49.9,"exactScoreProbability":9,"outcomeExpectedPoints":14.96,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.35,"expectedPoints":16.31,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Medium","upsetRisk":50.1,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Sweden; score lean 2-1; draw risk is 27.9%.","kickoff":"Jun 15, 02:00 AM UTC"},{"id":"1489380","fixtureId":"1489380","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-15T16:00:00+00:00","group":"H","match":"Spain vs Cape Verde Islands","venue":"Mercedes-Benz Stadium","pick":"Spain","scorePick":"3-0","homeProbability":86.9,"drawProbability":9.2,"awayProbability":3.9,"recommendedPickProbability":86.9,"exactScoreProbability":18.3,"outcomeExpectedPoints":26.08,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":2.74,"expectedPoints":28.82,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"High","upsetRisk":13.1,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:24+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Spain; score lean 3-0; draw risk is 9.2%.","kickoff":"Jun 15, 04:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1489377","fixtureId":"1489377","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-15T19:00:00+00:00","group":"G","match":"Belgium vs Egypt","venue":"Lumen Field","pick":"Belgium","scorePick":"2-1","homeProbability":57.3,"drawProbability":24.9,"awayProbability":17.9,"recommendedPickProbability":57.3,"exactScoreProbability":10.3,"outcomeExpectedPoints":17.18,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.55,"expectedPoints":18.73,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Medium","upsetRisk":42.7,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Belgium; score lean 2-1; draw risk is 24.9%.","kickoff":"Jun 15, 07:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1489379","fixtureId":"1489379","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-15T22:00:00+00:00","group":"H","match":"Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay","venue":"Hard Rock Stadium","pick":"Uruguay","scorePick":"0-2","homeProbability":12.3,"drawProbability":21.9,"awayProbability":65.7,"recommendedPickProbability":65.7,"exactScoreProbability":13.1,"outcomeExpectedPoints":19.72,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.97,"expectedPoints":21.69,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"High","upsetRisk":34.3,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:24+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Uruguay; score lean 0-2; draw risk is 21.9%.","kickoff":"Jun 15, 10:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1489378","fixtureId":"1489378","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-16T01:00:00+00:00","group":"G","match":"Iran vs New Zealand","venue":"SoFi Stadium","pick":"Iran","scorePick":"2-1","homeProbability":51.8,"drawProbability":27.3,"awayProbability":20.9,"recommendedPickProbability":51.8,"exactScoreProbability":9.3,"outcomeExpectedPoints":15.53,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.4,"expectedPoints":16.93,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Medium","upsetRisk":48.2,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Iran; score lean 2-1; draw risk is 27.3%.","kickoff":"Jun 16, 01:00 AM UTC"},{"id":"1489383","fixtureId":"1489383","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-16T19:00:00+00:00","group":"I","match":"France vs Senegal","venue":"MetLife Stadium","pick":"France","scorePick":"2-0","homeProbability":64.7,"drawProbability":21.9,"awayProbability":13.4,"recommendedPickProbability":64.7,"exactScoreProbability":12.9,"outcomeExpectedPoints":19.41,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.94,"expectedPoints":21.35,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"High","upsetRisk":35.3,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:24+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors France; score lean 2-0; draw risk is 21.9%.","kickoff":"Jun 16, 07:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1539016","fixtureId":"1539016","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-16T22:00:00+00:00","group":"I","match":"Iraq vs Norway","venue":"Gillette Stadium","pick":"Norway","scorePick":"0-3","homeProbability":6.9,"drawProbability":14.2,"awayProbability":78.9,"recommendedPickProbability":78.9,"exactScoreProbability":16.6,"outcomeExpectedPoints":23.68,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":2.49,"expectedPoints":26.16,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"High","upsetRisk":21.1,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Norway; score lean 0-3; draw risk is 14.2%.","kickoff":"Jun 16, 10:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1489381","fixtureId":"1489381","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-17T01:00:00+00:00","group":"J","match":"Argentina vs Algeria","venue":"Arrowhead Stadium","pick":"Argentina","scorePick":"2-0","homeProbability":68.2,"drawProbability":21,"awayProbability":10.8,"recommendedPickProbability":68.2,"exactScoreProbability":13.6,"outcomeExpectedPoints":20.46,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":2.05,"expectedPoints":22.51,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"High","upsetRisk":31.8,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:24+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Argentina; score lean 2-0; draw risk is 21.0%.","kickoff":"Jun 17, 01:00 AM UTC"},{"id":"1489382","fixtureId":"1489382","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-17T04:00:00+00:00","group":"J","match":"Austria vs Jordan","venue":"Levi's Stadium","pick":"Austria","scorePick":"3-0","homeProbability":72.2,"drawProbability":17.7,"awayProbability":10.1,"recommendedPickProbability":72.2,"exactScoreProbability":15.2,"outcomeExpectedPoints":21.66,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":2.27,"expectedPoints":23.93,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"High","upsetRisk":27.8,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:24+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Austria; score lean 3-0; draw risk is 17.7%.","kickoff":"Jun 17, 04:00 AM UTC"},{"id":"1539003","fixtureId":"1539003","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-17T17:00:00+00:00","group":"K","match":"Portugal vs Congo DR","venue":"NRG Stadium","pick":"Portugal","scorePick":"3-0","homeProbability":74,"drawProbability":17.1,"awayProbability":8.9,"recommendedPickProbability":74,"exactScoreProbability":15.5,"outcomeExpectedPoints":22.19,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":2.33,"expectedPoints":24.52,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"High","upsetRisk":26,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Portugal; score lean 3-0; draw risk is 17.1%.","kickoff":"Jun 17, 05:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1489384","fixtureId":"1489384","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-17T20:00:00+00:00","group":"L","match":"England vs Croatia","venue":"AT&T Stadium","pick":"England","scorePick":"2-1","homeProbability":54.8,"drawProbability":25.6,"awayProbability":19.7,"recommendedPickProbability":54.8,"exactScoreProbability":9.9,"outcomeExpectedPoints":16.43,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.48,"expectedPoints":17.91,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Medium","upsetRisk":45.2,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:24+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors England; score lean 2-1; draw risk is 25.6%.","kickoff":"Jun 17, 08:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1489385","fixtureId":"1489385","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-17T23:00:00+00:00","group":"L","match":"Ghana vs Panama","venue":"BMO Field","pick":"Ghana","scorePick":"1-0","homeProbability":45.5,"drawProbability":28,"awayProbability":26.5,"recommendedPickProbability":45.5,"exactScoreProbability":7.3,"outcomeExpectedPoints":13.66,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.09,"expectedPoints":14.75,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Speculative","upsetRisk":54.5,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:24+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Ghana; score lean 1-0; draw risk is 28.0%.","kickoff":"Jun 17, 11:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1489386","fixtureId":"1489386","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-18T02:00:00+00:00","group":"K","match":"Uzbekistan vs Colombia","venue":"Estadio Azteca","pick":"Colombia","scorePick":"0-2","homeProbability":11.2,"drawProbability":20.6,"awayProbability":68.2,"recommendedPickProbability":68.2,"exactScoreProbability":13.6,"outcomeExpectedPoints":20.45,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":2.04,"expectedPoints":22.49,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"High","upsetRisk":31.8,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:24+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Colombia; score lean 0-2; draw risk is 20.6%.","kickoff":"Jun 18, 02:00 AM UTC"},{"id":"1539004","fixtureId":"1539004","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-18T16:00:00+00:00","group":"A","match":"Czech Republic vs South Africa","venue":"Mercedes-Benz Stadium","pick":"Czech Republic","scorePick":"2-1","homeProbability":48.3,"drawProbability":28.8,"awayProbability":22.9,"recommendedPickProbability":48.3,"exactScoreProbability":8.7,"outcomeExpectedPoints":14.48,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.3,"expectedPoints":15.78,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Medium","upsetRisk":51.7,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Czech Republic; score lean 2-1; draw risk is 28.8%.","kickoff":"Jun 18, 04:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1539005","fixtureId":"1539005","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-18T19:00:00+00:00","group":"B","match":"Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina","venue":"SoFi Stadium","pick":"Switzerland","scorePick":"2-0","homeProbability":59.5,"drawProbability":24,"awayProbability":16.5,"recommendedPickProbability":59.5,"exactScoreProbability":11.9,"outcomeExpectedPoints":17.85,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.78,"expectedPoints":19.63,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Medium","upsetRisk":40.5,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Switzerland; score lean 2-0; draw risk is 24.0%.","kickoff":"Jun 18, 07:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1489387","fixtureId":"1489387","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-18T22:00:00+00:00","group":"B","match":"Canada vs Qatar","venue":"BC Place","pick":"Canada","scorePick":"3-0","homeProbability":72.3,"drawProbability":18.8,"awayProbability":8.9,"recommendedPickProbability":72.3,"exactScoreProbability":15.2,"outcomeExpectedPoints":21.69,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":2.28,"expectedPoints":23.96,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"High","upsetRisk":27.7,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Canada; score lean 3-0; draw risk is 18.8%.","kickoff":"Jun 18, 10:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1489388","fixtureId":"1489388","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-19T01:00:00+00:00","group":"A","match":"Mexico vs South Korea","venue":"Estadio Akron","pick":"Mexico","scorePick":"2-1","homeProbability":52.4,"drawProbability":27,"awayProbability":20.7,"recommendedPickProbability":52.4,"exactScoreProbability":9.4,"outcomeExpectedPoints":15.71,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.41,"expectedPoints":17.12,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Medium","upsetRisk":47.6,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Mexico; score lean 2-1; draw risk is 27.0%.","kickoff":"Jun 19, 01:00 AM UTC"},{"id":"1489391","fixtureId":"1489391","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-19T19:00:00+00:00","group":"D","match":"USA vs Australia","venue":"Lumen Field","pick":"USA","scorePick":"2-1","homeProbability":54.3,"drawProbability":25.1,"awayProbability":20.6,"recommendedPickProbability":54.3,"exactScoreProbability":9.8,"outcomeExpectedPoints":16.28,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.47,"expectedPoints":17.74,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Medium","upsetRisk":45.7,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors USA; score lean 2-1; draw risk is 25.1%.","kickoff":"Jun 19, 07:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1489390","fixtureId":"1489390","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-19T22:00:00+00:00","group":"C","match":"Scotland vs Morocco","venue":"Gillette Stadium","pick":"Morocco","scorePick":"1-2","homeProbability":23,"drawProbability":29,"awayProbability":48.1,"recommendedPickProbability":48.1,"exactScoreProbability":8.6,"outcomeExpectedPoints":14.42,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.3,"expectedPoints":15.71,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Medium","upsetRisk":51.9,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Morocco; score lean 1-2; draw risk is 29.0%.","kickoff":"Jun 19, 10:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1489389","fixtureId":"1489389","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-20T00:30:00+00:00","group":"C","match":"Brazil vs Haiti","venue":"Lincoln Financial Field","pick":"Brazil","scorePick":"3-0","homeProbability":88,"drawProbability":8.6,"awayProbability":3.4,"recommendedPickProbability":88,"exactScoreProbability":18.5,"outcomeExpectedPoints":26.4,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":2.77,"expectedPoints":29.17,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"High","upsetRisk":12,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Brazil; score lean 3-0; draw risk is 8.6%.","kickoff":"Jun 20, 12:30 AM UTC"},{"id":"1539006","fixtureId":"1539006","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-20T03:00:00+00:00","group":"D","match":"Türkiye vs Paraguay","venue":"Levi's Stadium","pick":"Türkiye","scorePick":"1-0","homeProbability":42.5,"drawProbability":29.8,"awayProbability":27.7,"recommendedPickProbability":42.5,"exactScoreProbability":6.8,"outcomeExpectedPoints":12.74,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.02,"expectedPoints":13.76,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Speculative","upsetRisk":57.5,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Türkiye; score lean 1-0; draw risk is 29.8%.","kickoff":"Jun 20, 03:00 AM UTC"},{"id":"1539007","fixtureId":"1539007","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-20T17:00:00+00:00","group":"F","match":"Netherlands vs Sweden","venue":"NRG Stadium","pick":"Netherlands","scorePick":"2-1","homeProbability":58,"drawProbability":23.8,"awayProbability":18.2,"recommendedPickProbability":58,"exactScoreProbability":10.4,"outcomeExpectedPoints":17.39,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.56,"expectedPoints":18.95,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Medium","upsetRisk":42,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Netherlands; score lean 2-1; draw risk is 23.8%.","kickoff":"Jun 20, 05:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1489393","fixtureId":"1489393","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-20T20:00:00+00:00","group":"E","match":"Germany vs Ivory Coast","venue":"BMO Field","pick":"Germany","scorePick":"2-0","homeProbability":60.7,"drawProbability":22.5,"awayProbability":16.8,"recommendedPickProbability":60.7,"exactScoreProbability":12.1,"outcomeExpectedPoints":18.2,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.82,"expectedPoints":20.02,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Medium","upsetRisk":39.3,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Germany; score lean 2-0; draw risk is 22.5%.","kickoff":"Jun 20, 08:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1489392","fixtureId":"1489392","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-21T00:00:00+00:00","group":"E","match":"Ecuador vs Curaçao","venue":"Arrowhead Stadium","pick":"Ecuador","scorePick":"3-0","homeProbability":79,"drawProbability":14.5,"awayProbability":6.5,"recommendedPickProbability":79,"exactScoreProbability":16.6,"outcomeExpectedPoints":23.71,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":2.49,"expectedPoints":26.2,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"High","upsetRisk":21,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Ecuador; score lean 3-0; draw risk is 14.5%.","kickoff":"Jun 21, 12:00 AM UTC"},{"id":"1489394","fixtureId":"1489394","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-21T04:00:00+00:00","group":"F","match":"Tunisia vs Japan","venue":"Estadio BBVA","pick":"Japan","scorePick":"1-2","homeProbability":18.4,"drawProbability":26.9,"awayProbability":54.7,"recommendedPickProbability":54.7,"exactScoreProbability":9.9,"outcomeExpectedPoints":16.42,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.48,"expectedPoints":17.9,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Medium","upsetRisk":45.3,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Japan; score lean 1-2; draw risk is 26.9%.","kickoff":"Jun 21, 04:00 AM UTC"},{"id":"1489397","fixtureId":"1489397","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-21T16:00:00+00:00","group":"H","match":"Spain vs Saudi Arabia","venue":"Mercedes-Benz Stadium","pick":"Spain","scorePick":"3-0","homeProbability":85.4,"drawProbability":10.5,"awayProbability":4.1,"recommendedPickProbability":85.4,"exactScoreProbability":17.9,"outcomeExpectedPoints":25.61,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":2.69,"expectedPoints":28.3,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"High","upsetRisk":14.6,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Spain; score lean 3-0; draw risk is 10.5%.","kickoff":"Jun 21, 04:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1489395","fixtureId":"1489395","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-21T19:00:00+00:00","group":"G","match":"Belgium vs Iran","venue":"SoFi Stadium","pick":"Belgium","scorePick":"2-0","homeProbability":67.4,"drawProbability":20.6,"awayProbability":12,"recommendedPickProbability":67.4,"exactScoreProbability":13.5,"outcomeExpectedPoints":20.22,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":2.02,"expectedPoints":22.24,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"High","upsetRisk":32.6,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Belgium; score lean 2-0; draw risk is 20.6%.","kickoff":"Jun 21, 07:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1489398","fixtureId":"1489398","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-21T22:00:00+00:00","group":"H","match":"Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands","venue":"Hard Rock Stadium","pick":"Uruguay","scorePick":"2-0","homeProbability":65.3,"drawProbability":21.6,"awayProbability":13.2,"recommendedPickProbability":65.3,"exactScoreProbability":13.1,"outcomeExpectedPoints":19.58,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.96,"expectedPoints":21.53,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"High","upsetRisk":34.7,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Uruguay; score lean 2-0; draw risk is 21.6%.","kickoff":"Jun 21, 10:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1489396","fixtureId":"1489396","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-22T01:00:00+00:00","group":"G","match":"New Zealand vs Egypt","venue":"BC Place","pick":"Egypt","scorePick":"1-2","homeProbability":19.3,"drawProbability":26.3,"awayProbability":54.4,"recommendedPickProbability":54.4,"exactScoreProbability":9.8,"outcomeExpectedPoints":16.31,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.47,"expectedPoints":17.78,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Medium","upsetRisk":45.6,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Egypt; score lean 1-2; draw risk is 26.3%.","kickoff":"Jun 22, 01:00 AM UTC"},{"id":"1489399","fixtureId":"1489399","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-22T17:00:00+00:00","group":"J","match":"Argentina vs Austria","venue":"AT&T Stadium","pick":"Argentina","scorePick":"2-1","homeProbability":57.5,"drawProbability":25,"awayProbability":17.5,"recommendedPickProbability":57.5,"exactScoreProbability":10.3,"outcomeExpectedPoints":17.24,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.55,"expectedPoints":18.79,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Medium","upsetRisk":42.5,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Argentina; score lean 2-1; draw risk is 25.0%.","kickoff":"Jun 22, 05:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1539017","fixtureId":"1539017","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-22T21:00:00+00:00","group":"I","match":"France vs Iraq","venue":"Lincoln Financial Field","pick":"France","scorePick":"3-0","homeProbability":84.7,"drawProbability":11.3,"awayProbability":4,"recommendedPickProbability":84.7,"exactScoreProbability":17.8,"outcomeExpectedPoints":25.42,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":2.67,"expectedPoints":28.09,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"High","upsetRisk":15.3,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors France; score lean 3-0; draw risk is 11.3%.","kickoff":"Jun 22, 09:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1489401","fixtureId":"1489401","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-23T00:00:00+00:00","group":"I","match":"Norway vs Senegal","venue":"MetLife Stadium","pick":"Norway","scorePick":"1-0","homeProbability":44.3,"drawProbability":27.6,"awayProbability":28.1,"recommendedPickProbability":44.3,"exactScoreProbability":7.1,"outcomeExpectedPoints":13.3,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.06,"expectedPoints":14.36,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Speculative","upsetRisk":55.7,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Norway; score lean 1-0; draw risk is 27.6%.","kickoff":"Jun 23, 12:00 AM UTC"},{"id":"1489400","fixtureId":"1489400","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-23T03:00:00+00:00","group":"J","match":"Jordan vs Algeria","venue":"Levi's Stadium","pick":"Algeria","scorePick":"0-2","homeProbability":14.7,"drawProbability":23.3,"awayProbability":62,"recommendedPickProbability":62,"exactScoreProbability":12.4,"outcomeExpectedPoints":18.6,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.86,"expectedPoints":20.46,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"High","upsetRisk":38,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Algeria; score lean 0-2; draw risk is 23.3%.","kickoff":"Jun 23, 03:00 AM UTC"},{"id":"1489404","fixtureId":"1489404","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-23T17:00:00+00:00","group":"K","match":"Portugal vs Uzbekistan","venue":"NRG Stadium","pick":"Portugal","scorePick":"3-0","homeProbability":75.8,"drawProbability":15.7,"awayProbability":8.5,"recommendedPickProbability":75.8,"exactScoreProbability":15.9,"outcomeExpectedPoints":22.74,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":2.39,"expectedPoints":25.13,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"High","upsetRisk":24.2,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Portugal; score lean 3-0; draw risk is 15.7%.","kickoff":"Jun 23, 05:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1489402","fixtureId":"1489402","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-23T20:00:00+00:00","group":"L","match":"England vs Ghana","venue":"Gillette Stadium","pick":"England","scorePick":"3-0","homeProbability":72.1,"drawProbability":18.4,"awayProbability":9.6,"recommendedPickProbability":72.1,"exactScoreProbability":15.1,"outcomeExpectedPoints":21.62,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":2.27,"expectedPoints":23.89,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"High","upsetRisk":27.9,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors England; score lean 3-0; draw risk is 18.4%.","kickoff":"Jun 23, 08:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1489403","fixtureId":"1489403","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-23T23:00:00+00:00","group":"L","match":"Panama vs Croatia","venue":"BMO Field","pick":"Croatia","scorePick":"0-2","homeProbability":14.5,"drawProbability":24.3,"awayProbability":61.2,"recommendedPickProbability":61.2,"exactScoreProbability":12.2,"outcomeExpectedPoints":18.36,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.84,"expectedPoints":20.2,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Medium","upsetRisk":38.8,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Croatia; score lean 0-2; draw risk is 24.3%.","kickoff":"Jun 23, 11:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1539008","fixtureId":"1539008","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-24T02:00:00+00:00","group":"K","match":"Colombia vs Congo DR","venue":"Estadio Akron","pick":"Colombia","scorePick":"2-0","homeProbability":64.2,"drawProbability":23,"awayProbability":12.8,"recommendedPickProbability":64.2,"exactScoreProbability":12.8,"outcomeExpectedPoints":19.26,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.93,"expectedPoints":21.19,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"High","upsetRisk":35.8,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Colombia; score lean 2-0; draw risk is 23.0%.","kickoff":"Jun 24, 02:00 AM UTC"},{"id":"1489408","fixtureId":"1489408","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-24T19:00:00+00:00","group":"B","match":"Switzerland vs Canada","venue":"BC Place","pick":"Switzerland","scorePick":"1-0","homeProbability":44.6,"drawProbability":28.6,"awayProbability":26.8,"recommendedPickProbability":44.6,"exactScoreProbability":7.1,"outcomeExpectedPoints":13.38,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.07,"expectedPoints":14.45,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Speculative","upsetRisk":55.4,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Switzerland; score lean 1-0; draw risk is 28.6%.","kickoff":"Jun 24, 07:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1539009","fixtureId":"1539009","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-24T19:00:00+00:00","group":"B","match":"Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Qatar","venue":"Lumen Field","pick":"Bosnia & Herzegovina","scorePick":"2-0","homeProbability":59.2,"drawProbability":24.6,"awayProbability":16.1,"recommendedPickProbability":59.2,"exactScoreProbability":11.8,"outcomeExpectedPoints":17.77,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.78,"expectedPoints":19.55,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Medium","upsetRisk":40.8,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Bosnia & Herzegovina; score lean 2-0; draw risk is 24.6%.","kickoff":"Jun 24, 07:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1489405","fixtureId":"1489405","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-24T22:00:00+00:00","group":"C","match":"Morocco vs Haiti","venue":"Mercedes-Benz Stadium","pick":"Morocco","scorePick":"3-0","homeProbability":71.5,"drawProbability":18.8,"awayProbability":9.7,"recommendedPickProbability":71.5,"exactScoreProbability":15,"outcomeExpectedPoints":21.44,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":2.25,"expectedPoints":23.69,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"High","upsetRisk":28.5,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Morocco; score lean 3-0; draw risk is 18.8%.","kickoff":"Jun 24, 10:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1489406","fixtureId":"1489406","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-24T22:00:00+00:00","group":"C","match":"Scotland vs Brazil","venue":"Hard Rock Stadium","pick":"Brazil","scorePick":"0-2","homeProbability":13.9,"drawProbability":21,"awayProbability":65.1,"recommendedPickProbability":65.1,"exactScoreProbability":13,"outcomeExpectedPoints":19.52,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.95,"expectedPoints":21.47,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"High","upsetRisk":34.9,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Brazil; score lean 0-2; draw risk is 21.0%.","kickoff":"Jun 24, 10:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1539010","fixtureId":"1539010","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-25T01:00:00+00:00","group":"A","match":"Czech Republic vs Mexico","venue":"Estadio Azteca","pick":"Mexico","scorePick":"1-2","homeProbability":20.9,"drawProbability":27,"awayProbability":52.1,"recommendedPickProbability":52.1,"exactScoreProbability":9.4,"outcomeExpectedPoints":15.64,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.41,"expectedPoints":17.05,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Medium","upsetRisk":47.9,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Mexico; score lean 1-2; draw risk is 27.0%.","kickoff":"Jun 25, 01:00 AM UTC"},{"id":"1489407","fixtureId":"1489407","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-25T01:00:00+00:00","group":"A","match":"South Africa vs South Korea","venue":"Estadio BBVA","pick":"South Korea","scorePick":"1-2","homeProbability":23.7,"drawProbability":28,"awayProbability":48.3,"recommendedPickProbability":48.3,"exactScoreProbability":8.7,"outcomeExpectedPoints":14.49,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.3,"expectedPoints":15.79,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Medium","upsetRisk":51.7,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors South Korea; score lean 1-2; draw risk is 28.0%.","kickoff":"Jun 25, 01:00 AM UTC"},{"id":"1489410","fixtureId":"1489410","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-25T20:00:00+00:00","group":"E","match":"Ecuador vs Germany","venue":"MetLife Stadium","pick":"Germany","scorePick":"1-2","homeProbability":19.6,"drawProbability":25.3,"awayProbability":55.1,"recommendedPickProbability":55.1,"exactScoreProbability":9.9,"outcomeExpectedPoints":16.52,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.49,"expectedPoints":18.01,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Medium","upsetRisk":44.9,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Germany; score lean 1-2; draw risk is 25.3%.","kickoff":"Jun 25, 08:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1489409","fixtureId":"1489409","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-25T20:00:00+00:00","group":"E","match":"Curaçao vs Ivory Coast","venue":"Lincoln Financial Field","pick":"Ivory Coast","scorePick":"0-3","homeProbability":6.9,"drawProbability":15.5,"awayProbability":77.7,"recommendedPickProbability":77.7,"exactScoreProbability":16.3,"outcomeExpectedPoints":23.3,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":2.45,"expectedPoints":25.75,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"High","upsetRisk":22.3,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Ivory Coast; score lean 0-3; draw risk is 15.5%.","kickoff":"Jun 25, 08:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1539011","fixtureId":"1539011","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-25T23:00:00+00:00","group":"F","match":"Japan vs Sweden","venue":"AT&T Stadium","pick":"Japan","scorePick":"1-0","homeProbability":45.4,"drawProbability":28,"awayProbability":26.7,"recommendedPickProbability":45.4,"exactScoreProbability":7.3,"outcomeExpectedPoints":13.61,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.09,"expectedPoints":14.7,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Speculative","upsetRisk":54.6,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Japan; score lean 1-0; draw risk is 28.0%.","kickoff":"Jun 25, 11:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1489412","fixtureId":"1489412","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-25T23:00:00+00:00","group":"F","match":"Tunisia vs Netherlands","venue":"Arrowhead Stadium","pick":"Netherlands","scorePick":"0-2","homeProbability":14.7,"drawProbability":22.5,"awayProbability":62.8,"recommendedPickProbability":62.8,"exactScoreProbability":12.6,"outcomeExpectedPoints":18.83,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.88,"expectedPoints":20.72,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"High","upsetRisk":37.2,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Netherlands; score lean 0-2; draw risk is 22.5%.","kickoff":"Jun 25, 11:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1539012","fixtureId":"1539012","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-26T02:00:00+00:00","group":"D","match":"Türkiye vs USA","venue":"SoFi Stadium","pick":"USA","scorePick":"0-1","homeProbability":35.4,"drawProbability":27.4,"awayProbability":37.2,"recommendedPickProbability":37.2,"exactScoreProbability":6,"outcomeExpectedPoints":11.16,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":0.9,"expectedPoints":12.06,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Speculative","upsetRisk":62.8,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors USA; score lean 0-1; draw risk is 27.4%.","kickoff":"Jun 26, 02:00 AM UTC"},{"id":"1489411","fixtureId":"1489411","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-26T02:00:00+00:00","group":"D","match":"Paraguay vs Australia","venue":"Levi's Stadium","pick":"Paraguay","scorePick":"1-0","homeProbability":43.3,"drawProbability":29.5,"awayProbability":27.2,"recommendedPickProbability":43.3,"exactScoreProbability":6.9,"outcomeExpectedPoints":12.99,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.04,"expectedPoints":14.03,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Speculative","upsetRisk":56.7,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Paraguay; score lean 1-0; draw risk is 29.5%.","kickoff":"Jun 26, 02:00 AM UTC"},{"id":"1539074","fixtureId":"1539074","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-26T19:00:00+00:00","group":"I","match":"Senegal vs Iraq","venue":"BMO Field","pick":"Senegal","scorePick":"2-0","homeProbability":66.1,"drawProbability":21.4,"awayProbability":12.6,"recommendedPickProbability":66.1,"exactScoreProbability":13.2,"outcomeExpectedPoints":19.82,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.98,"expectedPoints":21.8,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"High","upsetRisk":33.9,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Senegal; score lean 2-0; draw risk is 21.4%.","kickoff":"Jun 26, 07:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1489416","fixtureId":"1489416","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-26T19:00:00+00:00","group":"I","match":"Norway vs France","venue":"Gillette Stadium","pick":"France","scorePick":"1-2","homeProbability":21.8,"drawProbability":26.3,"awayProbability":51.9,"recommendedPickProbability":51.9,"exactScoreProbability":9.3,"outcomeExpectedPoints":15.58,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.4,"expectedPoints":16.98,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Medium","upsetRisk":48.1,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors France; score lean 1-2; draw risk is 26.3%.","kickoff":"Jun 26, 07:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1489417","fixtureId":"1489417","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-27T00:00:00+00:00","group":"H","match":"Uruguay vs Spain","venue":"Estadio Akron","pick":"Spain","scorePick":"1-2","homeProbability":18.1,"drawProbability":24.3,"awayProbability":57.6,"recommendedPickProbability":57.6,"exactScoreProbability":10.4,"outcomeExpectedPoints":17.29,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.56,"expectedPoints":18.84,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Medium","upsetRisk":42.4,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Spain; score lean 1-2; draw risk is 24.3%.","kickoff":"Jun 27, 12:00 AM UTC"},{"id":"1489413","fixtureId":"1489413","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-27T00:00:00+00:00","group":"H","match":"Cape Verde Islands vs Saudi Arabia","venue":"NRG Stadium","pick":"Cape Verde Islands","scorePick":"1-0","homeProbability":36.5,"drawProbability":28.8,"awayProbability":34.7,"recommendedPickProbability":36.5,"exactScoreProbability":6,"outcomeExpectedPoints":10.95,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":0.9,"expectedPoints":11.85,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Speculative","upsetRisk":63.5,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Cape Verde Islands; score lean 1-0; draw risk is 28.8%.","kickoff":"Jun 27, 12:00 AM UTC"},{"id":"1489414","fixtureId":"1489414","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-27T03:00:00+00:00","group":"G","match":"Egypt vs Iran","venue":"Lumen Field","pick":"Egypt","scorePick":"1-0","homeProbability":42.1,"drawProbability":31.3,"awayProbability":26.6,"recommendedPickProbability":42.1,"exactScoreProbability":6.7,"outcomeExpectedPoints":12.62,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.01,"expectedPoints":13.63,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Speculative","upsetRisk":57.9,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Egypt; score lean 1-0; draw risk is 31.3%.","kickoff":"Jun 27, 03:00 AM UTC"},{"id":"1489415","fixtureId":"1489415","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-27T03:00:00+00:00","group":"G","match":"New Zealand vs Belgium","venue":"BC Place","pick":"Belgium","scorePick":"0-3","homeProbability":9.3,"drawProbability":17.2,"awayProbability":73.5,"recommendedPickProbability":73.5,"exactScoreProbability":15.4,"outcomeExpectedPoints":22.05,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":2.32,"expectedPoints":24.36,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"High","upsetRisk":26.5,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Belgium; score lean 0-3; draw risk is 17.2%.","kickoff":"Jun 27, 03:00 AM UTC"},{"id":"1489420","fixtureId":"1489420","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-27T21:00:00+00:00","group":"L","match":"Croatia vs Ghana","venue":"Lincoln Financial Field","pick":"Croatia","scorePick":"2-1","homeProbability":57,"drawProbability":25.3,"awayProbability":17.7,"recommendedPickProbability":57,"exactScoreProbability":10.3,"outcomeExpectedPoints":17.11,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.54,"expectedPoints":18.65,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Medium","upsetRisk":43,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Croatia; score lean 2-1; draw risk is 25.3%.","kickoff":"Jun 27, 09:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1489422","fixtureId":"1489422","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-27T21:00:00+00:00","group":"L","match":"Panama vs England","venue":"MetLife Stadium","pick":"England","scorePick":"0-3","homeProbability":9.6,"drawProbability":16.6,"awayProbability":73.9,"recommendedPickProbability":73.9,"exactScoreProbability":15.5,"outcomeExpectedPoints":22.16,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":2.33,"expectedPoints":24.49,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"High","upsetRisk":26.1,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors England; score lean 0-3; draw risk is 16.6%.","kickoff":"Jun 27, 09:00 PM UTC"},{"id":"1489419","fixtureId":"1489419","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-27T23:30:00+00:00","group":"K","match":"Colombia vs Portugal","venue":"Hard Rock Stadium","pick":"Portugal","scorePick":"0-1","homeProbability":26.9,"drawProbability":28.6,"awayProbability":44.5,"recommendedPickProbability":44.5,"exactScoreProbability":7.1,"outcomeExpectedPoints":13.34,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.07,"expectedPoints":14.4,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Speculative","upsetRisk":55.5,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Portugal; score lean 0-1; draw risk is 28.6%.","kickoff":"Jun 27, 11:30 PM UTC"},{"id":"1539013","fixtureId":"1539013","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-27T23:30:00+00:00","group":"K","match":"Congo DR vs Uzbekistan","venue":"Mercedes-Benz Stadium","pick":"Congo DR","scorePick":"1-0","homeProbability":40.6,"drawProbability":29,"awayProbability":30.4,"recommendedPickProbability":40.6,"exactScoreProbability":6.5,"outcomeExpectedPoints":12.18,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":0.97,"expectedPoints":13.16,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Speculative","upsetRisk":59.4,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Congo DR; score lean 1-0; draw risk is 29.0%.","kickoff":"Jun 27, 11:30 PM UTC"},{"id":"1489418","fixtureId":"1489418","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-28T02:00:00+00:00","group":"J","match":"Algeria vs Austria","venue":"Arrowhead Stadium","pick":"Austria","scorePick":"0-1","homeProbability":26.9,"drawProbability":29.7,"awayProbability":43.4,"recommendedPickProbability":43.4,"exactScoreProbability":6.9,"outcomeExpectedPoints":13.02,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":1.04,"expectedPoints":14.06,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"Speculative","upsetRisk":56.6,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Austria; score lean 0-1; draw risk is 29.7%.","kickoff":"Jun 28, 02:00 AM UTC"},{"id":"1489421","fixtureId":"1489421","kickoffUtc":"2026-06-28T02:00:00+00:00","group":"J","match":"Jordan vs Argentina","venue":"AT&T Stadium","pick":"Argentina","scorePick":"0-3","homeProbability":6.7,"drawProbability":14.2,"awayProbability":79.1,"recommendedPickProbability":79.1,"exactScoreProbability":16.6,"outcomeExpectedPoints":23.72,"exactScoreExpectedPoints":2.49,"expectedPoints":26.22,"signalSource":"Live odds","confidenceTier":"High","upsetRisk":20.9,"oddsTimestamp":"2026-06-11T08:07:25+00:00","rationale":"Consensus no-vig market probability favors Argentina; score lean 0-3; draw risk is 14.2%.","kickoff":"Jun 28, 02:00 AM UTC"}],"modelSummary":{"settings":{"firstRoundScope":"entire-group-stage","allowDrawPicks":true,"pointsForWinPick":30,"pointsForDrawPick":30,"exactScorePoints":45,"groupStandingPositionPoints":30,"topScorerGoalPoints":{"GK":32,"DF":32,"MF":16,"FW":8},"rosterSize":11,"positionalMinimums":{"GK":1,"DF":3,"MF":3,"FW":3},"positionalMaximums":{"GK":2,"DF":5,"MF":5,"FW":4},"maxPlayersPerCountry":3,"riskPenalty":0.25,"simulationCount":10000,"modelWeights":{"market":0.7,"teamStrength":0.2,"recentForm":0.05,"injury":0.03,"restTravel":0.02}},"rosterExpectedPoints":240.033975472,"rosterDistribution":{"floor":226.0550830464919,"p25":232.54634566897505,"median":239.95202194365342,"p75":247.4208990093856,"ceiling":253.7943671863018},"providerStatuses":[{"name":"API-Football Squads","mode":"live","configured":true,"lastUpdated":"2026-06-11T10:48:10.113Z"},{"name":"API-Football Fixtures","mode":"live","configured":true,"lastUpdated":"2026-06-11T10:48:10.113Z"},{"name":"API-Football Fixtures","mode":"live","configured":true,"lastUpdated":"2026-06-11T10:48:10.113Z"},{"name":"API-Football Odds","mode":"live","configured":true,"lastUpdated":"2026-06-11T10:48:10.113Z"},{"name":"API-Football Player Stats","mode":"live","configured":true,"lastUpdated":"2026-06-11T10:48:10.113Z","warning":"Roster player data is live via API-Football Squads; 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